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Spatial Uncertainty Analysis in Ecological Biology

Spatial Uncertainty Analysis in Ecological Biology
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Author(s): Stelios Zimeras (Department of Statistics and Actuarial-Financial Mathematics, University of the Aegean, Karlovassi, Samos, Greece) and Yiannis Matsinos (Biodiversity Conservation Laboratory, Department of Environmental Studies, University of the Aegean, Mytilene, Greece)
Copyright: 2013
Volume: 2
Issue: 1
Pages: 11
Source title: International Journal of Systems Biology and Biomedical Technologies (IJSBBT)
Editor(s)-in-Chief: Tagelsir Mohamed Gasmelseid (International University of Africa, Sudan)
DOI: 10.4018/ijsbbt.2013010102

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Abstract

Uncertainty analysis is the part of risk analysis that focuses on the uncertainties in the data characteristics. Important components of uncertainty analysis include qualitative analysis that identifies the uncertainties, quantitative analysis of the effects of the uncertainties on the decision process, and communication of the uncertainty. (Funtowwicz & Ravetz 1990; Petersen, 2000; Regan et a1., 2002; Katz 2002). The analyses include simple descriptive procedures till quantitative estimation of uncertainty, and decision-based procedures. The analysis may be qualitative or quantitative, depending on the stage of analysis required and the amount of information available. When a neighbourhood structure lattice system is applied, a spatial connectivity between regions is defined where investigation of that structure includes modelling of the spatial homogeneity is introduced. Spatial investigation involves stochastic modelling especially in cases where the incomplete data involves hide information’s. In this work a spatial analysis methodology was introduced and procedures to solve the problem with spatial variability are described.

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