IRMA-International.org: Creator of Knowledge
Information Resources Management Association
Advancing the Concepts & Practices of Information Resources Management in Modern Organizations

Inflation Rate Modelling Through a Hybrid Model of Seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network

Inflation Rate Modelling Through a Hybrid Model of Seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network
View Sample PDF
Author(s): Mogari Ishmael Rapoo (North-West University, South Africa), Martin M. Chanza (North-West University, South Africa)and Gomolemo Motlhwe (North-West University, South Africa)
Copyright: 2023
Pages: 17
Source title: Research Anthology on Macroeconomics and the Achievement of Global Stability
Source Author(s)/Editor(s): Information Resources Management Association (USA)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-6684-7460-0.ch030

Purchase


Abstract

This study examines the performance of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA), multilayer perceptron neural networks (MLPNN), and hybrid SARIMA-MLPNN model(s) in modelling and forecasting inflation rate using the monthly consumer price index (CPI) data from 2010 to 2019 obtained from the South African Reserve Bank (SARB). The forecast errors in inflation rate forecasting are analyzed and compared. The study employed root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) as performance measures. The results indicate that significant improvements in forecasting accuracy are obtained with the hybrid model (SARIMA-MLPNN) compared to the SARIMA and MLPNN. The MLPNN model outperformed the SARIMA model. However, the hybrid SARIMA-MLPNN model outperformed both the SARIMA and MLPNN in terms of forecasting accuracy/accuracy performance.

Related Content

Iris-Panagiota Efthymiou, Symeon Sidiropoulos. © 2024. 24 pages.
Nitish Kumar Minz, Anshul Saluja. © 2024. 29 pages.
Iris-Panagiota Efthymiou. © 2024. 24 pages.
Antoine Toni Trad. © 2024. 43 pages.
Martha Ann Davis McGaw. © 2024. 15 pages.
Agyabeng Nimfah Yeboah, Leila Goosen. © 2024. 24 pages.
Surjit Singha. © 2024. 23 pages.
Body Bottom