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Forecasting on Information Systems Attack Sources

Forecasting on Information Systems Attack Sources
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Author(s): June Wei (University of West Florida, USA) and Yi Li (University of West Florida, USA)
Copyright: 2004
Pages: 3
Source title: Innovations Through Information Technology
Source Editor(s): Mehdi Khosrow-Pour, D.B.A. (Information Resources Management Association, USA)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-59140-261-9.ch242
ISBN13: 9781616921255
EISBN13: 9781466665347

Abstract

The stakes involved in information system security have risen. Organization is vulnerable to numerous types of attacks from many different sources. This intrusion results in a devastating impact in terms of lost assets and good will. This paper analyzes the current growing patterns of likely sources of attacks on information systems security based on historical data from 1997 to 2003. The current trend patterns are analyzed using indices and growth rates. The future trend of these sources of attacks is projected using time series analysis method. This research helps people who are interested in information systems security to better understand the likely source of attacks to information systems. The developed projecting models can help people to forecast the future for each of these likely sources of attacks to information systems. It also assists information technology staffs and managers in industry and government to make strategic management decisions on information systems security.

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