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Adaptation Efforts and Policy Guidelines for Bangladesh at Global Warming of 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C: Adaptation Efforts and Policy Guidelines for Bangladesh at Specific Warming Levels

Adaptation Efforts and Policy Guidelines for Bangladesh at Global Warming of 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C: Adaptation Efforts and Policy Guidelines for Bangladesh at Specific Warming Levels
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Author(s): Sujit Kumar Bala (Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Bangladesh), A.K.M. Saiful Islam (Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Bangladesh), GM Tarekul Islam (Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Bangladesh)and Motahar Hosen (Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Bangladesh)
Copyright: 2022
Pages: 24
Source title: Modern Challenges and Approaches to Humanitarian Engineering
Source Author(s)/Editor(s): Yiannis Koumpouros (University of West Attica, Greece), Angelos Georgoulas (University of West Attica, Greece)and Georgia Kremmyda (University of Warwick, UK)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-9190-1.ch002

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Abstract

Bangladesh is going to be the worst-hit country from the climate change. The impacts of climate change at specific warming levels (SWLs) of 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C upon the natural and social systems of Bangladesh are assessed. Eleven regional climate models' findings show that the average Bangladesh summer temperature is likely to rise from 3.24°C to 5.77°C while the mean annual precipitation is likely to increase up to 25% by the end of the century. The yield trends of Bangladesh in terms of Boro and Aman rice are projected to gradually decrease from 2-15% at a specific warming level of 1.5°C, 5-20% at a specific warming level of 2°C, and 5-25% at a specific warming level of 4°C. A few adaptation options are proposed for different SWLs and sea-level rise. Managing climate for SWLs could be for ‘short term' up to 2020, ‘medium term' up to 2050, and ‘long term' up to 2080. The end goal is a sustainable, resilient, and transformed Bangladesh, where additional policy documents, strategies, and action plans to mainstream adaptation to combat climate change are necessary.

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