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Integrated Resource Planning for Efficient Power Supply in Nigeria by 2050: Future Scenario Approach
Abstract
Power supply in Nigeria has been epileptic due to low capacity for electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. The country's peak dispatch power stands at 5,552.8 MW against estimated demand of about 98,000MW thus stifling socio-economic activities with attendant adverse effect on economic growth. The absence of effective integrated resource planning was identified as a major cause of the low level of power supply in Nigeria as available energy resources have not been optimally harnessed. Using a future scenario approach, this chapter developed plausible scenarios for Nigeria's power supply by the Year 2050 based on a predictive model of seven per cent (moderate growth), ten per cent (high growth) and 13 per cent (optimistic growth) used in analyzing the impact of energy growth on Nigeria's economy. This led to the generation of scenario-based strategies including the optimal diversification of electricity generation mix and restructuring of the power grid system in Nigeria.
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